Nassim Nicholas Taleb‎'‎s phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan‎:‎ The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything ‎- and take advantage of uncertainty‎.‎ What have the invention of the wheel‎,‎ Pompeii‎,‎ the Wall Street Crash‎,‎ Harry Potter and the internet got in common‎?‎ Why are all forecasters con‎-artists‎?‎ What can Catherine the Great‎'‎s lovers tell us about probability‎?‎ Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper‎?‎ This book is all about Black Swans‎:‎ the random events that underlie our lives‎,‎ from bestsellers to world disasters‎.‎ Their impact is huge‎;‎ they‎'‎re impossible to predict‎;‎ yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them‎.‎ ‎'‎Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ‎.‎‎.‎‎.‎ I came to relish what he said‎,‎ and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person‎'‎ Will Self‎,‎ Independent on Sunday ‎'‎He leaps like some superhero of the mind‎'‎ Boyd Tonkin‎,‎ Independent ‎'‎Funny‎,‎ quirky and thought‎-provoking ‎.‎‎.‎‎.‎ confirms his status as a guru for every would‎-be Damien Hirst‎,‎ G‎.‎‎.‎‎.‎